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Mortgage rates can respond to changes in inflation, employment, Federal Reserve policy, Treasury yields, and expectations about future economic growth. These factors do not determine mortgage rates by themselves, but they can influence the broader bond market and the pricing lenders offer.
For homebuyers and homeowners, the important question is not simply whether economic news is “good” or “bad.” The key is how new information changes expectations for inflation, interest rates, and the economy. Those changes can contribute to mortgage rate movement and affect purchasing power, refinance opportunities, and monthly payment estimates.
Use the market updates below as supporting information, then consider your specific loan type, credit profile, property, and financing goals when evaluating current mortgage options.
Real Estate & Financial Market Updates
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Full Recovery!
The patient looked critical this morning with 10yr yields pushing up to new long-term highs just over 5.36%, but by the early afternoon, there was a full recovery. In fact, most of the recovery arrived after 9:30am ET (and before 11am ET). Any time 9:30am kicks off a big move, we think about things like ETF tradeflows and other money shuffling in the retail investor space. Oil prices also moved lower at that time, but not enough to justify the swings seen in the bond market. The afternoon’s 10yr Treasury auction was well-received (as they often are when yields tag long-term highs). The follow-through helped complete the round trip, ultimately leaving yields about 1bp lower by 3pm ET and MBS a few bps higher.
Market Movement Recap
10:28 AM Sharply weaker overnight, but recovering a bit now. MBS down about a quarter point and 10yr up 3.6bps at 5.32
01:03 PM Additional recovery after strong 10yr auction. 10yr now up less than 1bp on the day at 5.289 and MBS down only 2 ticks (.06).
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The post What is Micro-Moving? Embracing a Simpler Way to Relocate appeared first on Redfin | Real Estate Tips for Home Buying, Selling & More.
It was an exciting day for mortgage rates, and while we technically ended up slightly higher, it could have been much worse. In fact, it WAS much worse earlier in the day, but only for about 30 minutes. Our daily rate index can be updated throughout the day if mortgage lenders change their rates in sufficient numbers. If we reported only the day’s opening rate sheets, top-tier 30yr fixed rates would have been over 7.7%. Almost immediately after those initial rates came out (around 9:30am ET), the bond market started to recover. By 11am, multiple lenders had already improved. There was an additional round of improvement in the afternoon with almost every lender dropping their rates at least once (many of them more than once) by the end of the day. The net effect: today’s average top-tier 30yr fixed rate rose only 0.03% versus yesterday to 7.59%–safely under recent highs.
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North Dakota recorded the lowest rate at 1.4%, followed by Wisconsin (1.5%)